They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Best FiveThirtyEight Podcasts (2023) - Player This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They determine whether we live in a free or repres The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. It's a busy week! Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. What does it take to make democracy work? As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. I'm Galen Truk. . Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. police- settlements. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Labor Day traditionally marks the time when general election campaigning truly ramps up summer vacation is over, TV ads flood the airways and pollsters switch their models from registered voters to likely voters. ( Businessweek) Rev. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. June 2, 2016. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. 01:00 PM. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Feb. 25, 2021. info. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. The data behind that evolution is striking. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. 04:58 PM. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Happy holidays! The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. All rights reserved. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com Accuracy is not guaranteed. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. MANAGER'S SALARY. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. All. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. Rules of the Game - discussing democratic institutions su Apple Podcasts In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week.